By now you've learned my system is anything
but conservative. We just won 7 units on the Devils yesterday in the
midst of a losing streak that was 2 minutes away from breaking a 27 year
old record. I'd like to start this pick by saying I really don't like
many games today. I'll bet them, but I'm not in love. When in doubt, I
bet on Pekka Rinne. If you run a conservative system, stay away.
I am not a conservative bettor. I've put money on every
hockey game of the season for two consecutive years now, and I've won
money doing it. Some weeks are better than others, but this is a good
week, so I'll ride the key principles of my system. We're riding back
to back successful days, including a 4-0 night of domination.
The Edmonton Oilers have been extremely mediocre this year. They have
offense and goaltending but only in spurts. On the road, I can't
imagine a cohesive game against one of the best defensive systems in
hockey - led by one of the best goalies.
If Pekka Rinne plays,
ride the Nashville Predators here. He's arguably the best goalie in
hockey, his team around him is just highly mediocre. Against a team as
poor as the Oilers, and on home ice, I like a grinding struggle of a
game.
Very low confidence ML pick on the Preds.
Low confidence, with z-code support, on under 5.5 (5).
Z-Code gives 63% chance that the Preds will win this game.
There's not much value here, but with VERY low confidence, we'll go Preds.
Nashville 3 - Edmonton 1
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